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The reaction of slaughter hog cash and futures prices to USDA hogs and pigs reports

机译:屠宰生猪现金和期货价格对美国农业部生猪和生猪报告的反应

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摘要

This study examined the reaction of slaughter hog cash and futures prices to USDAHogs and Pigs reports. Over the 1972-87 period, the nearby live hog futures price had $1/cwt or larger absolute price changes on 48% of the trading days immediately after the Hogs and Pigs report release compared to 6% of the days of the release, suggesting that the reports arc providing important new information to the market. Average price moves in cash and futures markets following the report releases were positive, suggesting that price usually increased theday after the reports. Over the 1972-87 period, the cash price declined on only 38% of the first trading days after the report releases, and the futures market price declined on 43%. The day of the week on which the Hogs and Pigs reports were released had no significant impact on themarket's price variability following release.
机译:这项研究检查了生猪现金和期货价格对USDAHogs和Pigs报告的反应。在1972-87年期间,在生猪和生猪报告发布后的48%的交易日中,附近生猪期货价格具有$ 1 / cwt或更大的绝对价格变化,而发布当日的6%为6%,这表明报告为市场提供了重要的新信息。报告发布后,现金和期货市场的平均价格变动为正,表明价格通常在报告后的第二天上涨。在1972-87年期间,现金价格在报告发布后的首个交易日中仅下跌了38%,而期货市场价格下跌了43%。发布猪和猪的报告的星期几对发布后市场的价格波动没有重大影响。

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